Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 773.695616 872.885391 983.728589 1117.492563 1275.494015 1457.359460 1684.236011
2025-02-09 621.931328 751.157778 909.071785 1119.133337 1395.685705 1753.828075 2263.752585
2025-02-16 531.670477 671.340418 852.454508 1110.077932 1476.605155 1994.921593 2813.637098
2025-02-23 482.689242 631.848631 834.926397 1140.582694 1605.751045 2317.684021 3557.239585
2025-03-02 448.752892 605.755006 828.687066 1181.380303 1751.903768 2692.043110 4491.598567
2025-03-09 416.574263 576.935516 812.854793 1202.451120 1867.451389 3039.134906 5491.107932
2025-03-16 385.086761 544.884972 787.103843 1202.076342 1944.456381 3333.424214 6491.379777
2025-03-23 363.602963 525.222650 777.409515 1225.397494 2065.566681 3737.728852 7891.057363
2025-03-30 332.559102 487.480535 734.279963 1184.356988 2058.296681 3880.513191 8728.655440
2025-04-06 306.315866 454.983844 696.307925 1147.094026 2051.074517 4020.561583 9622.117776
2025-04-13 282.282635 424.081081 658.019755 1104.264222 2024.977776 4111.648519 10423.176572
2025-04-20 274.486987 419.216694 663.700245 1144.668232 2180.107568 4672.101947 12975.556975
2025-04-27 263.636967 408.652336 658.910924 1165.346426 2299.613641 5190.315527 15791.941299
2025-05-04 251.272343 394.551628 646.495018 1169.278987 2382.632163 5642.215541 18745.015909
2025-05-11 238.326488 378.415257 628.782457 1159.809464 2431.841377 6015.847648 21716.283862
2025-05-18 231.746246 373.024718 630.621077 1192.089667 2591.740605 6785.310746 27405.360086
2025-05-25 226.847195 370.233010 637.065391 1235.276466 2790.219993 7767.641587 35656.907506
2025-06-01 219.941912 363.202569 634.480936 1257.590619 2937.616007 8644.070538 44812.869993
2025-06-08 211.214438 352.144671 622.838914 1257.193670 3020.756406 9322.906324 53936.911608
2025-06-15 205.564770 346.513478 621.728577 1281.898235 3184.766569 10413.974311 69289.171255
2025-06-22 194.011572 328.831971 594.249370 1238.428421 3129.628544 10545.858903 75696.297170
2025-06-29 183.651290 312.909607 569.392308 1198.980917 3080.684237 10693.729767 82920.017707
2025-07-06 173.477412 296.844305 543.222236 1153.665706 3005.327345 10695.123921 88641.779317